If it’s a standard commercial 45 caliber rifle barrel, would likely shoot fine with a .440 ball and a .012”-.018” patch. As
@MtnMan suggested, the patch thickness (and lube) is most important. Lee molds are inexpensive, less than $20 each. You will spend more on two packages of balls than that.
Typically, I buy mold that will cast a ball .010” under stated caliber and see how it goes. Getting a mold .005” under stated caliber may only make sense if you have deep cut rifling with narrow lands. I have a collection of molds from over the years that has me covered for most calibers, from 32 up to 62, rifle or pistol. You could always sell a mold you don’t want and get 50-75% of your money back. Just something to think about.