Dave,
I'm debating about whether to go early or late, but late seems to be winning. My barrel is 30" oct-rd, so probably better to lean towards Purdy or his Master, Manton. I was a little surprised to see that Purdy apprenticed as early as he did (1798), and that Manton was building flintlocks until 1825 or so. Regardless, this clears up the suitability of a late Ketland. I was thinking that I would need a larger lock.