Permit me a few comments about this discussion.
First I agree with the writer who said that the answer to this will not change the way we load our guns or alter any of our techniques. The answer really doesn't matter, except I am motivated by the challenge it presents - can I develop a methodology to find out.
I dislike making a statement I can't back up with numbers, but here goes. My gut says that if obturation is found, it will not occur in all situations. The key to this is a comparison to two competing forces. One is the resistance to movement of a tightly patched ball and the other is the force required to upset the the ball. For the ball to upset, the resistance to movement must be great enough to hold the ball in place while the force behind the ball begins to deform it.
If the ball bumps up, my gut says that it will need a very tightly patched ball, a stiff load behind it, and perhaps a finer grained sporting grade powder produce a sharper pressure spike.
I'm trying to avoid taking a position until I can provide numbers.
Regards,
Pletch